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Break-Even ROAS Calculator

The minimum return on ad spend a product needs before ads lose money. Change the numbers and press Calculate.

Same formula as our product scores Works without JavaScript

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Result

1.90x

break-even ROAS: below this, ads lose money

2.66x ROAS needed for a 15% net margin
Per-order breakdown
Retail price $20.00
Supplier price + shipping −$8.00
Payment fees −$0.88
Platform fees $0.00
Returns allowance −$0.60
Contribution before ads $10.52
TikTok CAC
$9.50
Meta CAC
$14.00
Google CAC
$17.50

US planning benchmarks. All markets.

What break-even ROAS is

ROAS (return on ad spend) is the revenue your ads bring in divided by what they cost. A ROAS of 3 means $3 of sales for every $1 of ads. Break-even ROAS is the level at which ads exactly pay for themselves once the product, shipping, fees and returns are paid. Below it, every sale from ads loses money, even though the ad platform may report a "positive" return.

Break-even ROAS = retail price ÷ break-even CAC
Target ROAS = retail price ÷ (break-even CAC − retail × target net margin)

Worked example

The starting values describe a product costing $8.00 and sold for $20.00. After costs and fees each order leaves $10.52, so the ads can cost up to that much per sale: a break-even ROAS of 1.90. To keep a 15% net margin the ads must do better: a ROAS of 2.66.

Why margins decide your ROAS target

Break-even ROAS rises steeply as margins shrink. A product that keeps half its price after costs breaks even at a ROAS of 2; one that keeps a quarter needs 4; one that keeps a tenth needs 10, which almost no campaign sustains. This is why a cheap product with a thin markup is hard to sell with paid ads, however good it looks: the ads have to perform unrealistically well just to break even. A higher retail price or a bundle lowers the ROAS you need far more than any ad-account setting.

Reading ROAS in your ad account

Ad platforms attribute sales with their own windows and models, so the ROAS they report is an estimate and is often generous. Check it against your store: total revenue for the period divided by total ad spend. If that "blended" ROAS sits below your break-even ROAS, the business is losing money on paid traffic, whatever an individual campaign shows.

ROAS or CAC?

They are two views of the same limit. ROAS is the number ad platforms show you; break-even CAC is easier to compare between products and channels. Product Score reports break-even CAC for every product it scores and compares it with channel benchmarks; divide the retail price by it to get the break-even ROAS. See it on real products in the scored niches.

FAQ

Questions

What is break-even ROAS?

The return on ad spend at which ads exactly pay for themselves: retail price divided by break-even CAC. Below it, every sale from ads loses money.

Is a ROAS of 2 good?

Only if your break-even ROAS is below 2. A product with thin margins can need 3 or more just to break even, while a high-margin product can be profitable below 2.

Why is my break-even ROAS so high?

Your contribution per order is small compared with the price, usually because the markup is low or fees and shipping eat most of the margin. Raise the price or lower costs before scaling ads.

Does ROAS in Ads Manager match this calculation?

Ad platforms attribute revenue with their own windows and models, so reported ROAS is an estimate. Compare your store's revenue with ad spend over the same period as a check.

Get these numbers for real AliExpress products

Product Score scores every product 0–100 and shows its break-even CAC against TikTok, Meta and Google Shopping. Free plan, no card needed.